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4.3LXJ
08-31-2011, 11:47 AM
9 Things That Will Disappear In Our Lifetime...
and one more for the next!

Whether these changes are good or bad depends in part on how we adapt to them. But, ready or not, here they come.

1. The Post Office
Get ready to imagine a world without the post office. They are so deeply in financial trouble that there is probably no way to sustain it long term. Email, Fed Ex, and UPS have just about wiped out the minimum revenue needed to keep the post office alive. Most of your mail every day is junk mail and bills.

2. The Check
Britain is already laying the groundwork to do away with checks by 2018. It costs the financial system billions of dollars a year to process checks. Plastic cards and online transactions will lead to the eventual demise of the check. This plays right into the death of the post office. If you never paid your bills by mail and never received them by mail, the post office would absolutely go out of business.

3. The Newspaper

The younger generation simply doesn't read the newspaper. They certainly don't subscribe to a daily delivered print edition. That may go the way of the milkman and the laundry man. As for reading the paper online, get ready to pay for it. The rise in mobile Internet devices and e-readers has caused all the newspaper and magazine publishers to form an alliance. They have met with Apple, Amazon, and the major cell phone companies to develop a model for paid subscription services.

4. The Book
You say you will never give up the physical book that you hold in your hand and turn the literal pages. I said the same thing about downloading music from iTunes. I wanted my hard copy CD. But I quickly changed my mind when I discovered that I could get albums for half the price without ever leaving home to get the latest music. The same thing will happen with books. You can browse a bookstore online and even read a preview chapter before you buy. And the price is less than half that of a real book. And think of the convenience! Once you start flicking your fingers on the screen instead of the book, you find that you are lost in the story, can't wait to see what happens next, and you forget that you're holding a gadget instead of a book.

5. The Land Line Telephone
Unless you have a large family and make a lot of local calls, you don't need it anymore. Most people keep it simply because they've always had it. But you are paying double charges for that extra service. All the cell phone companies will let you call customers using the same cell provider for no charge against your minutes

6. Music
This is one of the saddest parts of the change story. The music industry is dying a slow death. Not just because of illegal downloading. It's the lack of innovative new music being given a chance to get to the people who would like to hear it. Greed and corruption is the problem. The record labels and the radio conglomerates are simply self-destructing. Over 40% of the music purchased today is "catalogue items," meaning traditional music that the public is familiar with. Older established artists. This is also true on the live concert circuit. To explore this fascinating and disturbing topic further, check out the book, "Appetite for Self-Destruction" by Steve Knopper, and the video documentary, "Before the Music Dies."

7. Television
Revenues to the networks are down dramatically. Not just because of the economy. People are watching TV and movies streamed from their computers. And they're playing games and doing lots of other things that take up the time that used to be spent watching TV. Prime time shows have degenerated down to lower than the lowest common denominator. Cable rates are skyrocketing and commercials run about every 4 minutes and 30 seconds. I say good riddance to most of it. It's time for the cable companies to be put out of our misery. Let the people choose what they want to watch online and through Netflix.

8. The "Things" That You Own
Many of the very possessions that we used to own are still in our lives, but we may not actually own them in the future. They may simply reside in "the cloud." Today your computer has a hard drive and you store your pictures, music, movies, and documents. Your software is on a CD or DVD, and you can always re-install it if need be. But all of that is changing. Apple, Microsoft, and Google are all finishing up their latest "cloud services." That means that when you turn on a computer, the Internet will be built into the operating system. So, Windows, Google, and the Mac OS will be tied straight into the Internet. If you click an icon, it will open something in the Internet cloud. If you save something, it will be saved to the cloud. And you may pay a monthly subscription fee to the cloud provider. In this virtual world, you can access your music or your books, or your whatever from any laptop or handheld device. That's the good news. But, will you actually own any of this "stuff" or will it all be able to disappear at any moment in a big "Poof?" Will most of the things in our lives be disposable and whimsical? It makes you want to run to the closet and pull out that photo album, grab a book from the shelf, or open up a CD case and pull out the insert.

9. Privacy
If there ever was a concept that we can look back on nostalgically, it would be privacy. That's gone. It's been gone for a long time anyway. There are cameras on the street, in most of the buildings, and even built into your computer and cell phone. But you can be sure that 24/7, "They" know who you are and where you are, right down to the GPS coordinates, and the Google Street View. If you buy something, your habit is put into a zillion profiles, and your ads will change to reflect those habits. "They" will try to get you to buy something else. Again and again.

steph74
08-31-2011, 11:51 AM
unfortunately, i believe it is true...

Mudderoy
08-31-2011, 01:35 PM
I believe I mentioned it here, maybe not, but recently the ISPs put data caps into effect. It doesn't cost them any more to send bits to your house, they are simply doing this because they can see their "entertainment" revenue going away as people "cut the cord" from their expensive and less than entertaining "cable" content. Netflix, HBO, and I think all of the networks have their content available online.

Blueray players and even TVs are now coming with the ability to play content directly from the Internet.

I disagree with the notion that music is dying. I believe the middle men will die, but those artists that create for the love of creation will flourish. They will sell directly to the people that love their work. I believe this will allow people that never were in the right place and the right time to be successful, and it won't require nearly the amount of people to do it since the money they will receive won't be given to scores of individuals that don't do anything in the creative process anyway.

Most of the things that are coming I think are great, and I look forward to them disappearing. I may be being short sited...

LizardRunner
09-01-2011, 12:04 PM
Sounds great, except; computers were supposed to be the end of paper documents, that hasn't been the case. computers were supposed to make work easier, they haven't really done so because of the rushes computer crashes cause. and just wait till you can't get any money because the banking system is down and the solar flairs have created a total black out of all the communication systems world wide. Ever go to a store and after the clerk has checked you out you find they can't make change unless the computerized register tells them what they owe you back? take that experience and multiply by 200 that will give you an idea of just how silly it is to completely rely on technology. Once we get to that point, a simple brown out or series of huge solar flares, or check this one... a nuclear device purposely exploded in space, creating a surge of gama energy waves that fry every satellite rotating in orbit thus stopping all communications on planet earth. Yeah, technology is good.

saar
09-03-2011, 12:42 AM
Most of the things you wrote are probably true...
I'm not so sure about the music.
I can add 2 more things...

1. classic cars: not too many people will be able to hold and maintain our days cars in 30 years from now (just think of finding a specific sensor which exist in BMW today, 30 years from now)
2. words.... yes, many words will disappear. few researches showed that teenagers are using less words than in the past - the reason is the usage of shortcuts in facebook, sms etc...

Saar.

4.3LXJ
09-03-2011, 10:10 AM
2. words.... yes, many words will disappear. few researches showed that teenagers are using less words than in the past - the reason is the usage of shortcuts in facebook, sms etc...

Saar.

Even before cell phones, words were shrinking in this country, both in length and number used. You might find it interesting to read literature and even private letters penned in the 1800s in this country and compare it to now. We have been streamlining our part of the English language now for about one hundred years. I think it is less cumbersome than it was, but we have new words now that are outside the grammar rules.